Sending the disturbing waves to the Tamil Nadu ruling ADMK, the recent pre-poll survey has revealed that the opposition DMK will mark a landslide victory in the upcoming crucial assembly polls while the ruling camp would end up with larger diminishing numbers than what it had got in the preceding assembly polls. The poll is the third such survey that had gone in favor of the DMK party.
The pre-poll survey was conducted by Tamil news channel Puthiya Thalaimurai in collaboration with APT and the survey was on the floor from February 18 to March 15 and it had shown that the DMK and its allies will most likely win 151 to 158 seats out of 234 assembly seats and the predicted seats are at least 40 seats more than the majority mark in the assembly. While the DMK is predicted to taste a landslide victory, the ruling ADMK will end up securing 76-83 seats in the polls, nearly 50% less than what it had got in the 2016 polls.
The survey has also put out where the parties would yield more percentage of votes. According to the survey, DMK has a bright prospect of sweeping all the constituencies to its kitty except the seats in the western Kongu belt, where the ruling ADMK enjoys a stronghold. The DMK is also predicted to win all the seats in Chennai by securing a 47.27% vote share while ADMK will get 20.81% votes. The DMK will also enjoy victories in the northern constituencies with a 42.93% vote share while ADMK will likely get a 32.61% vote share.
The predicted decline for ADMK in the northern seats would come when the party has allied with the PMK, which enjoys a stronghold in the northern part with a back of the Vanniyar community. Losing the northern part is expected to be a big blow for the ADMK and the ruling party can feel a sign of relief in the western belt with a 36.45% of vote share against DMK's 28.50%.
On the front of the favorite Chief Minister, the survey said that 37.51% of voters have preferred DMK President MK Stalin as their favorite and next Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu while 28.33% of respondents had preferred incumbent Edappadi Palaniswami to be the next Chief Minister. 6.45% of respondents had voted for Kamal Haasan as their Chief Ministerial choice.
The pre-poll survey said that anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Edappadi Palaniswami was low since over 36% of respondents awarded 6-10 marks for Palaniswami's term as the Chief Minister. Only 31% of respondents gave Edappadi Palaniswami's tenure 0-4 marks while 13.06% of respondents gave the Palaniswami-led government five marks out of 10. The poll had also displayed the anti-BJP grounds in Tamil Nadu.
According to the survey, around 60.03% of respondents had strongly denied that the BJP ruling Central government did well for Tamil Nadu while 22.87% of respondents backed the BJP party by claiming that it had done additional good to the state. The survey had given a crucial push for the DMK and its alliance while the ADMK has been predicted to face a drastic setback. It must be noted that the two previous surveys - Times Now and ABP, had predicted a huge victory for the DMK and all these surveys had said that the DMK would bag 155-160 seats while ADMK will win in 65-75 seats.
The surveys had also displayed that the voters had given no major chance to the remaining fronts apart from the Dravidian parties in ruling the state. In an unprecedented fashion, Tamil Nadu is facing five fronts in the assembly polls - ADMK and its alliance, DMK and its alliance, Kamal Hassan- Sarathkumar- IJK, AMMK- DMDK, and Seeman's Naam Tamilar Katchi, which will contest independently. Tamil Nadu will go to the single-phase poll on April 6 and the votes will be counted on May 2, during which the results will be announced.
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