BJP's triumphs and debacles - Amit Shah to be blamed?

Many years of hard works and efforts, the root and the instrument behind planting and playing BJP's rule in most of the states, the main reason for saffronizing the states that were claimed to be challenging the ideology and policies of BJP - these phenomenal strategies had collectively named Amit Shah as 'Chanakya' of Indian Politics. 

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(L-R) Amit Shah and Chanakya, the author of Indian political treatise

 

The grounds of Indian Politics have indeed grassed for different kinds of political games, political uncertainty, aberrant developments between the political parties and the victory of the game would be determined in the general elections and Amit Shah, one of the chief commanders of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, doesn't hold exceptional in winning the game, always, with his strategies which were revealed in the recent developments in Maharashtra that had certainly shaken his Chanakya brand. Is BJP backtracking through his failed strategies alone? Certainly not...What could be the real gamechanger which played a strong role in criticizing the party?

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(L-R) Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Amit Shah - File photo

 

After sweeping the huge mandate in 2014 Parliamentary elections through the Modi wave that had devasted the Congress party and other regional parties, BJP had been flagging its victories in most of the legislative elections held after 2014 and through that, the party hoped to saffronize India. It's convinced that the BJP has decades' long hard work, efforts, and strategies to credit itself for attaining the massive growth in the country. In 2014, BJP was ruling in seven states and in the next four years, they had a dramatic and skyrocketing rise after mapping 21 states under its rule and their consistent and stable victories were determined based on the pre and post elections alliance.

In 2014, BJP ruled in seven states and the numbers were increased to 13 states in 2015, 15 states in 2016, 19 states in 2017 and finally it was ruling about 70% of India in 2018 where it was in power in 21 states. The dramatic and impressive victories and potential growth of the party were ultimately credited Amit Shah and his strategies but it has seemed that his strategies have been outdated and ran out of validity in 2018 where the numbers of states ruled by BJP and its allied parties have decreased to 17, despite the massive victory in 2019 Lok Sabha polls.

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  Amit Shah addresses a campaign rally - File photo

In 2018, although the BJP had registered in victory in the Northeastern state of Mizoram, it literally lost in the states like Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh - the crucial states for BJP. In line with that, the BJP alliance in Andhra Pradesh was collapsed due to the quake with Telugu Desam Party and the allied rule in Jammu and Kashmir has come to an end after which the state remained under the Presidential's rule. 

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Uddhav Thackeray during the swearing-in ceremony at Shivaji Park where he took oath as 19th Chief Minister of Maharashtra - Nov 28th, 2019

 

The state of Karnataka has provided the party with little comfort in South India after it has become a ruling party by directing the political twist that was similar to what has happened in Maharashtra recently which had witnessed the month-long political drama that has recently staged off after Shiv Sena's chief Uddhav Thackeray sworn in as the Chief Minister of Maharashtra. Despite being the single largest party in the state, BJP had failed to attain consensus with Shiv Sena in forming a new government following which Sena had cracked down its three decades alliance with the BJP and joined hands with its former rivals Congress and Nationalist Congress Party and these ruckuses had invited the Presidential rule in the state. The hope of BJP to retain the power has been busted by the tri-party alliance even after tuning the twists and presenting the surprises that had recapped the scenes of turmoil the state of Karnataka had gone through earlier this year.

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The map compares the presence of BJP rule in 2019 against 2017 

 

BJP, which ruled about 71% of India in 2017, currently diminished its rule in 40% in 2019 and while crediting Amit Shah and his strategies for the party's victory, it's inevitable that the governance of BJP in the Center must be held responsible along with Amit Shah for BJP's years of fall. The prevailing economic slowdown, alleged authoritarianism, suppressing the minority people, the challenges and failures of new economic policies, uncertain and unstable governance, failure of the alliance in the states, and failure to hear and uphold the voices of the people are some of the important threads that had nested together to defeat and to downgrade the power of BJP and these appalling developments and series of debacles had revealed that the roots of the BJP in the states have been decaying - particularly in important and crucial states despite the party can claim the massive victory in 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

 

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